There is plenty of finger-pointing this week around the world. Capital marketing are convulsing, investor losses are mounting, politicians are speaking out and litigation lawyers are rubbing their hands in anticipation.
As the WSJ outlines this week CREDIT AND BLAME
How Rating Firms' Calls Fueled Subprime Mess, it took more than one person to cause this riot. The participants have been far and wide, from gullible and wilfully blind to the greedy and downright fraudulent.
The Federal Reserve has stepped in to the rescue in other periods like this, most recently in 1998, 2001, but I fear this has not been a good thing in the long run. As every parent comes to know, cleaning up after our children repeatedly is no way to train and fortify them. Rampant reckless risk taking is a dangerous business. When people are saved at the final bell, no lasting lessons are learned to help them make wiser choices for the future. This is one of the main reasons that we find ourselves back today in worse shape than we were at the peak of the last market bubble just 7 short years ago.
The Bernake led Fed may be less inclined to race in with imminent rate cuts to pull markets out of the fire this time. At some point pain must be felt to restore some equilibrium and dissuade distructive behaviour going forward. And then there is the fact that inflation is still above target and rate cuts will further depress the down-trodden US dollar.
I am reminded of what Galbraith wrote about in "The Great Crash." He describes how at in the beginning of the market crash in 1929 there was must hope and rumour that at any moment someone big and powerful would step in and save the day by putting a stop to the market freefall. Widely it was hoped that there were big men about who could put stocks up and put stocks down and that at any moment the cavalry would arrive to stop the losses and save the day. Of course, no saviour materialized and it took more than 2 years and -89% losses before markets were able to work off their overhang from the post-29 exuberance and start slowly building their way back.
Mature and realistic excpectations are needed. High-risk rollers will have to learn this lesson the hard way. Money cannot be free and unlimited without the nasty reprucusions of waste and inflation. It will take some time to work off the hang-over of the past few years. Patience and prudence and maturity will be rewarded.
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Books
Press Release Praise for Juggling Dynamite “An explosive critique about the investment industry: provocative and well worth reading.” “Juggling Dynamite, #1 pick for best new books about money and markets.” “Park manages to not only explain finances well for the average person, she also manages to entertain and educate, while cutting through the clutter of information she knows every investor faces.” |
The blame game all over again
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Key Interview
Danielle speaks with Jonathan Chevreau on the Financial Post's blog Wealthy Boomer.
Part 1 Part 2 Recent Multimedia
Audio and Video Interviews“Dear Ms. Park, I watched your appearance on BNN today, and I just have to leave you a message saying 'Thank you' for giving viewers your very frank opinions about how things are going and certain industry practices. I appreciated you trying to give as much information as you could during that (too) short segment. Thank you for what you are doing for all investors!” “Each time I see Danielle Park on BNN, I am impressed with her comments and insights. Other than Rick Santelli on CNBC, she is the only commentator that I feel is completely honest and trustworthy.” Search
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